Over the last decade, no major sports league has grown in popularity more than the NBA. As more and more of the public bet the NBA each night, along with them appear the new, self-described “NBA betting experts” offering their advice on plays. Be wary. There are plenty of services out there that tout their football prowess and after costing you money all season, all to their pitch, “by the way we also do the NBA.” Not KrackWins. I have been betting the NBA successfully for two decades and NBA Basketball is a staple of building my profit each year. And I could not be more excited that the 2021-22 season is here.
The NBA was one of the first sports I bet professionally when I moved to Las Vegas nearly twenty years ago. At that time, the number of NBA bettors you would find in the local sports books was small. While the volume of NBA bets have increased significantly over the years, I still find plenty of advantages over the long season. Over the last 3 years, we have gone 515-344 (60.1%), which includes the bubble and playoffs.
Betting NBA Totals
Across all sports and manners of bet, some of my greatest success has been found betting NBA totals. While I do play a handful of sides over the course of the year, totals make up the bulk of my plays – with action on multiple games each night. I will also bet a few NBA future win totals before the season, which are being released to our premium subscribers this week.
NBA totals are truly a unique phenomenon. Go watch some of the Heat, Knicks, or Pistons games from the 1990s and then compare those slugfests to the games today. In fact, you don’t even need to go back that far. Just a few years ago, NBA totals ranged anywhere from as low as 185 to as high as 220. In today’s game, 220 is closer to an average. In the 2012-2013 season, the average points scored per NBA team was 98.1. This past season it was 112.1. With more athletic players, more rules favoring the offense, and the fans’ desire for a wide-open game, we expect that upward trend to continue. Let’s dive into my sports betting tips for the NBA.
NBA Sports Betting Tips
As the game changes, we change with it, and my methods have consistently produced winning results over the years. Below are a few insights into how you can sharpen your betting approach this season.
Bankroll Management is Crucial
Staying disciplined is always key when betting sports – even more so in the NBA where 30 teams playing an 82-game schedule = 1230 games a year. With that much action, a well-structured, risk-appropriate plan that is based on your overall bankroll and bet per play is essential. As is sticking to that plan and avoid being swayed by ups and downs throughout the season.
Player Injury and Rest Information
Rest and load management announcements often are not made until very close to game time. The NBA is, more than any other league, is player-driven. As a result, players are granted much more latitude when it comes to taking nights off. These decisions are critical to determining the value of a potential play. We always stay wired into injuries and scheduling abnormalities that could lead to the rest of key players. Last season, injuries changed the entire landscape of the playoffs as one superstar after another went down with injuries. James Harden, Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, and Mike Conley all went down and, subsequently, so did their teams. The Champion Milwaukee Bucks may have been the best team, but certainly were the healthiest at the end. From the season-opening tip to the last game of the Finals, relentless scrutiny of player availability is critical to gaining an edge.
Will the Bucks repeat or will the addition of Russell Westbrook help Lebron James win his 5th championship? Will the Nets’ “Big Three” be on the court enough (or at all) for them to win it all? How about the Suns, Hawks, Nuggets or Clippers? It should be a fun and wide-open year.
Home Court and Previous Game Bias
More than the other major sports, NBA lines are typically influenced by two betting factors: home court advantage and a team’s previous game. I often find great value when good teams hit the road as slight favorites. Linemakers can be prone to using these factors too heavily. As with football, some of the biggest advantages can be found early in the season before the bookmakers have made their adjustments. This means you will want to jump on board with KrackWins as early as possible.
Volume = Opportunity
The beauty of the NBA is that there are 30 teams playing 82 games this season. That means you can gather a lot of intelligence on teams that can be applied to action over the course of the season. For example, how certain teams defend against other teams matters, as teams will face each other multiple times. These are opportunities you just don’t get in football. The power of having an edge increases with the added volume.
The KrackWins advantage runs from game 1 to game 82. So, let us do the hard work for you as we build our bankroll this NBA season. Follow my bankroll management scale strictly, as we will have action almost every single day. Stay disciplined and remember that it is a marathon not a sprint. Strap in for another exciting NBA season and enjoy the ride!