While they may not count in the standings, winners pay like the regular season. In fact, professional bettors account for 50-70% of the money bet on a preseason game. Since the launch of the KrackWins App in 2019, we have gone 40-16-1 on the NFL Preseason, for an absolutely ridiculous 71% win rate. Information is key in preseason games. These games are exhibitions, so coaches obviously approach them that way. They want to avoid injuries to starters and assess their depth chart and cuts. These changes in personnel combined with mostly vanilla play calling produce wild line movement that you would never see in a regular season game. Having good information well before the game kicks off is critical. That info, combined my knowledge of the handicapping markets, translates into a meaningful edge that makes me salivate over these volatile lines.
With everyone and their mother is now betting on NFL regular season games, the market is much smaller for the preseason. As such, I do not judge the strength of the play merely on whether it wins or loses…but by how much I beat the closing number. And NOTHING compares to the value our members get when it comes to NFL Preseason. So far this year, we have sent four NFL Preseason games to our members. Since they were received by our members, these games have moved 3.5 points, 4.5 points, 5.5 points and 6 points, respectively – ALL IN OUR MEMBERS’ FAVOR. You just cannot and will not find that kind of advantage anywhere else. Of course, this would never happen in a regular season unless half the roster of one of the teams was injured, but this is where my insider edge makes the difference.
NFL Preseason Primer
Four Tips for Preseason Success
1) Preseason means Looser Lines – Preseason games often have large line moves as information is revealed during the week. Playing time plans for starters and roster moves are revealed as the week goes on. Find the right side early before the line moves.
2) Study the Coaches. While some coaches are indifferent about the final result, other coaches may be trying to set a tone and build a winning attitude. Examine how the head coaches historically fare in the preseason and look out for 1st year coaches trying to show they belong.
3) Study the QB Depth Chart. Is the team’s backup QB a veteran who will be going against backup, or is he a rookie getting his first snaps as a pro. End of game lineups make all the difference on that final number.
4) A common question that I get during the NFL preseason is “Hey, I got your play at +6 and now it’s -3. Should I hedge and how much?”. I do not hedge because of the size of the middle. If we own a ticket for +6, betting the -3 is giving our value away that we have with the +6 ticket. So, the simple answer is no, I do not hedge single game bets.
You can always tell where we have the greatest advantage by simply watching how the sportsbooks handle my action. Their betting limits on games reveals their confidence level (or lack thereof) on the lines they set…which is exactly why books will allow me to bet 100 times more on an NFL regular season game than they do on a preseason game.
Don’t wait until the regular season to start building your bankroll. Get into the game now and let’s go into NFL week 1 already in the black.
