I always tell people new to sports betting that this isn’t a get rich quick scheme. This isn’t the roulette table where you can bet every chip you have on black or red and flip a coin. Winning long term as a professional sports bettor takes many skills, but most important is to stick to your bankroll guide and do not chase or press. My favorite quote about professional sports betting that I came up with decades ago and is now repeated by all these new content creators is- This is a marathon, not a sprint!!!
With March Madness approaching next week, I want to go over a few tips for the new blood out there to help them through this exciting time to bet. For decades, fans have been filling out office pool brackets hoping to win the big prize. While everyone still loves to fill these brackets out, the game has definitely changed. Here are a few tips for betting on the Big Dance…
Sports Betting Picks Weekly Recap
1) First Half Value
The first half offers more of a pure number than the game for a few reasons. First and foremost because the end of the games can end with garbage desperation fouls being committed by losing teams trying to extend the game.
2) Big Name Fades
Most of the public really only pays attention to College Hoops come March. A lot of the big name schools are public favorites to bet, so there is some value in taking some of these bigger dogs especially in the first half.
3) Dogs Early – Chalk Late
While you should be eyeing the underdogs in the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament, the cream usually rises to the top in the later rounds. Look for a few 10/11/12 seeds to advance to the second week, but by time we hit the Sweet 16 and Elite 8 the clock usually strikes Midnight for the Cinderella runs.
4) Prop it Up
These last few years the Player Prop market has absolutely exploded. If you are in a State that allows college player props, this is a great market to look at. There is no way for any algorithm and bookmaker to accurately set all the prop lines. For each game you have over 40-50 options on player props to look for any that you might see value in
Now let’s recap the last two weeks….
To stay with the Marathon theme, last two weeks KrackWins went 32-29-2 to literally break even. NCAA Basketball continued to make us a profit as we finished 12-9-1, +3.8 units. NBA was back and forth for us, going 18-17-1, dropping 2.2 units in juice. NCAA Baseball was 1-2-1 (-1.3) and PGA split 1-1 (-.3) as we broke even all together to close out February.
I am really excited for this years NCAA Basketball Tournament but the action doesn’t stop there. In fact volume starts to pick up as my favorite grind, Major League Baseball, starts just a few short weeks! Thank you KrackWins Nation for your continued trust in me and my team and please feel free to email us at anytime with any questions you may have ([email protected]). The grind continues….
