Things seem to be back to a normal for NFL teams in 2022 and we are excited for some football betting. Training camps and preseason games are all on schedule and teams are ready to make cuts until they are down to their 53 man rosters. Since the KrackWins app launched, we have gone 32-11 on the NFL Preseason, for an absolutely ridiculous 74% win rate! Predating the app, I have made handsome profits on preseason games over the years. As I have said numerous times, one of the hardest things to beat long-term are NFL sides (totals, futures, and props are completely different). Beating NFL sides is nearly impossible to do over a long period of time. They are nowhere near the advantage that there is in NCAA Football sides. That said, the NFL Preseason is an entirely different story.
The NFL preseason has been one of the most profitable sports that I have bet over my three decades of professionally betting sports. At one point in 2018-2019, we won 15 of 18 preseason plays and most of the games weren’t even close. In a smaller market like preseason NFL, I do not judge the strength of the play merely on whether it wins or loses…but by how much I beat the closing number. My NASCAR and PGA Matchups, for example, move 10-20 cents by the time the matchup goes off the board. While that is very strong movement, these preseason NFL games move even more. I have had games that we send out +7 and it closes -3.5. Sounds too crazy to be true, right? It would never happen in a regular season unless half the team was injured or missing, but this is where my insider edge makes the difference.
Pro Football Betting Strategies for Preseason
Information is key in preseason games. These games are exhibitions, so coaches obviously approach them that way. They want to avoid injuries and frequently the starters will only play one possession. Coaches are sending in players throughout the depth chart to assess them for cuts. These changes in personnel produce wild line movement that you would never see in a regular season game. So having good information early is critical. Over the last 30 years, I have developed outstanding intelligence, which, combined with my knowledge of the handicapping markets, translates to a meaningful edge that makes me salivate at these volatile lines.
A common question that I get during the NFL preseason is “Hey, I got your play at +6 and now it’s -3. Should I hedge and how much?” I do not hedge because of the size of the middle. If we own a ticket for +6, betting the -3 is giving our value away that we have with the +6 ticket. So, the simple answer is no, I do not hedge single game bets.
You can always tell where we have the greatest advantage by the casinos and bookmakers. Their betting dollar limits on games tells me what their confidence level is on the lines they set. They will let me to bet at least 100 times more on an NFL regular season game than they do on a preseason game. It’s time to roll with me and Team Krackwins to capture this unique opportunity to build profits going into the regular season!
Preseason NFL starts with the Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio. The Las Vegas Raiders play the Jacksonville Jaguars next Thursday so the only question I ask is, Are you ready for some football???!!!