Itās an all-new episode of my Wise Kracks sports betting podcast with cohost, Jon Orlando. With the Super Bowl a little over a week away, weāre gearing up for the biggest sports betting event of the year by chopping up the numbers with two of the most knowledgeable sports betting experts in the US.Ā
Jon and I welcome Westgate SuperBookās VP of Race and Sports Operations Jay Kornegay, and FanDuelās Director of Trading John Sheeran to give us an inside look at the Super Bowlās betting numbers.Ā
This episode is packed with exclusive information to help you bet on the 2022 Super Bowl.
A Rollercoaster of NFL Conference Championships Betting
The Cincinnati Bengals broke the hearts of Chiefs fans as well as that of everyone who had the Chiefs in a 7-point teaser, coming back from 18 down to win in Arrowhead. Much of the public bet on Chiefs spread and money line. We discussed how the books really tookĀ advantage of live betsĀ during these games.
The 49ers blew a 10-point lead to the Rams, signaling the end of their year and paving the Ramsā road straight to the Super Bowl. QB Jimmy G was unable able to get offensive production, but unfortunately had enough passing yards to kill my passing yards total bet on the game.
Last weekās guest, CoachĀ John Beam, shared he was in favor of Jimmy G remaining the starter in San Francisco. However, after this week it appears that Jimmy G might be done in San Francisco. I like winners and Jimmy G certainly wasnāt that this weekend.
According toĀ DraftKings, 67% of spread bets are on the Bengals (+4.5, -115) in the Super Bowl, with 55% of the money going to the Bengals total. This creates an interesting position for both sportsbooks and bettors. We were joined today by TWO big-time decision-makers at some of the biggest sportsbooks in North America to discuss the numbers.Ā
Insider Super Bowl Numbers with Westgate’s Kornegay
Jay Kornegay has been our guest on Wise Kracks before and heās always generous with his knowledge aboutĀ Las Vegas sports bettingĀ and sports betting in general. Today Jay outlined Westgateās process to determine their lines. The last six NFL Playoff games have come down to the last play and that excitement has resulted in huge numbers and high stakes for sportsbooks.
Kornegay described the atmosphere at his Westgate SuperBook and other sportsbooks in Las Vegas as āelectricā during the last few weeks.
āWhen it came to in-game wagering, though, a lot of people like betting the favorite when they fall behind,ā said Kornegay.
The favorites were ahead during these games which didnāt really translate to a lot of in-game wagering like we would see if the favorite falls behind. Very few people were betting the Bengals to come back, which would have been the case if the Chiefs were behind.
Jay revealed that there is a large volume of action going down on the Bengals, which is interestingĀ considering they are the underdogs and the publicās money is usually piled on the favorites.
Our conversation covers a lot of ground, including Jayās break down on how Westgate frequently comes out with the first Super Bowl line in the city, plus predictions for a record-setting 2022 for Las Vegas sports betting.
FanDuel’s US Edge with John Sheeran
John Sheeran is a betting industry veteran of more than 20 years. HeāsĀ bet horses and greyhounds professionally, and got his start in oddsmaking in horseracing in Ireland.Ā When sports betting started to become legalized in the US, Sheeran moved toĀ New YorkĀ to set up trading operations for FanDuel.
In our interview today, John shared exclusive insights intoĀ the way that FanDuel operates. He talks in detail about how FanDuel has invested heavily in risk trading and oddsmaking, and that he believes they hold a significant lead over their US competition in those areas. It led to a really interesting conversation about the way I bet and how FanDuel is consistently ahead on sharp lines compared to other US books.
John shared that FanDuel will likely want a Los Angeles Rams win in the Super Bowl in the margin of 1 to 3 points.
Send us your questions on Twitter @BillKrackMan, @JonOrlando and @WSNsports. We pick listener questions every week.
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