Sports Betting Picks Recap and Look-Ahead – 5/14/21

May 14, 2021 | MLB, NBA, NFL, PGA, Sports Betting Picks Weekly Recap

People constantly ask me about what it is like to be a professional bettor.  As I have written here many times before, I try to describe the rollercoaster ride that a professional goes through each day, each week, each year.  The sports betting gods will attempt to work at your emotions, pushing you to your highest high and your lowest low.  This emotional endurance test is the biggest reason why so many people fail trying to become a winning sports bettor.

I have a 1-5% edge on each game that I bet.  As a result, I know that I will land at 56-59% each year (which I always have worst case for the last 25+ years).  That means there will be losing weeks that I and you sustain are part of long-term success.  Anyone who tells you that you can win “fast” with shortcuts is full of it.  There is only one way to win long-term on a sustained basis.  That’s why there are only a handful of professionals that can make their living this way – especially across multiple sports.  You have to bet with an edge, manage your bankroll strictly, and never let the rollercoaster trifle with your emotions.  If you do so, you will grow your bankroll impressively over time.

We never force plays because there always will be another advantage opportunity.  And we especially do not chase losses and the so called “Bad Beats”.  As I have said, variance evens out over time and the bad beats will be offset by hero wins.  But I know sports fans and bettors alike love SVP’s SportsCenter, which features our industry’s unlucky breaks that happen throughout the season.  This past week, our losses were made that reel multiple times.  For transparency and entertainment, here is a quick recap of just some of these awful beats from last week…

A Bad Beats Week

The Braves versus the Phillies was the scene of a bad beat crime on BOTH last Saturday and Sunday night.  On Sunday, KrackWins were looking for OVER 7.5 on the game and got off to a great start with the Atlanta Braves taking a 4-1 lead in the 1st inning!  And then, it was nothing but torture after that, as the two teams LEFT 25 MEN ON BASE the next 8 innings and left us with a bitter loss by the hook as the Braves won 6-1.

The Saturday night game was even worse.  KrackWins took the live dog Phillies +145 as they took a 3-0 lead in the 2nd inning.  Leading the whole game, up 3-1 in the bottom of the 9th with 2 outs and no one on, Philly closer Hector Neris walked a guy and then gave up a 2-run homer to send it to extra innings.  But the sports betting gods were not done yet.  In the top of the 12th, the Phillies took a 7-4 lead appearing to lock the game up…and then proceeded to give up 4 runs in the bottom of the 12th to lose 8-7.

The Canelo Alvarez – BJ Saunders fight was going exactly how we had it handicapped. We bet OVER 10.5 rounds for a small play.  Canelo had a slight lead, but neither boxer really was dominating.  Before the bell rang to start the 9th, Saunders corner threw the towel because of his eye swelling.  What ever happened to “Cut me Mick!”???

We also had two disgusting NBA beats.  For example, we played OVER 227, the game tips at O/U 230.5 so we have 3.5 pts of closing line value.  The teams score 130 in the in the 1st half…and then proceed to shoot 28% in the 2nd half for 96 points. Bang, our O227 advantage play loses by a 1 point.  Whatcha gonna do? Let’s dive into my sports betting picks recap. 

Sports Betting Picks Recap and Look-Ahead

Overall, the week finished 8-10-2 (-6.4 units).  MLB 5-3-1 (+2.1 units), NBA 3-3 (-.7 units), PGA 0-2-1 (-3.7 units) and FCS 0-1.  A week to forget.  It happens.

Remember not to be emotional and just let the bad beats be entertainment.  I do – because I KNOW my approach inevitably wins over time.  Long-term KrackWins subscribers also know because they are up major units despite any given week or rough stretch.  Again, successful betting is marathon, not a sprint – and if you run the long race the right way with KrackWins, your bankroll will swell.

Also, I hope all of KrackWins nation checks out BetFest this Saturday.  I am speaking at this virtual event which is a top-notch conference for sports bettors.  Panels stocking with the Who’s Who of the industry will run all day on wide-ranging topics to make attendees sharper bettors and smarter on the industry overall.  Do not miss it!

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Author: Bill Krackomberger

Author: Bill Krackomberger

Professional Sports Bettor

I love to help and to teach people what I have learned the last twenty-five years as a consistently winning sports bettor.  I have been a guest on many networks, including ESPN, CNN, Fox Sports, VSIN and radio shows coast to coast as well as am featured in the new Showtime series “Action”. Download my app KrackWins to get my picks in live time. Read more about Bill Krackomberger.

Author: Bill Krackomberger

Professional Sports Bettor

I love to help and to teach people what I have learned the last twenty-five years as a consistently winning sports bettor.  I have been a guest on many networks, including ESPN, CNN, Fox Sports, VSIN and radio shows coast to coast as well as am featured in the new Showtime series “Action”.  Download my app KrackWins to get my picks in live time. Read more about Bill Krackomberger.

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